StatSheet Projects Michigan as NCAA Tournament Five Seed: 02/09/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 9th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Michigan to make the NCAA Tournament as a five seed. The Wolverines are the #22 team in the AP Poll and sit at #17 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-7 overall record and an 8-4 record in the Big Ten.

During its last four games, Michigan got a quality win against AP #23 Indiana and a win against Nebraska but also took on losses against AP #11 Michigan State and AP #3 Ohio State.

Michigan is lukewarm against top competition, with a 9-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 7-5 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 3-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Wolverines have seven quality wins including AP #23 Indiana, AP #11 Michigan State, RPI #34 Northwestern, AP #21 Wisconsin, and RPI #48 Minnesota. Their single bad loss came against RPI #122 Iowa.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #64), New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #49), and Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #51).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #44), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #70), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #69).

The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #69), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #50), and South Dakota State (19-6, 11-2 Summit League, StatRank #59).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12Minnesota
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5UNLV
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9Illinois
#10Miami (FL)
#11Gonzaga
#12Ole Miss
#13Long Beach State
#14Cleveland State
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4Murray State
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Memphis
#10Notre Dame
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13MTSU
#14Iona
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Wichita State
#9West Virginia
#10Saint Louis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Oral Roberts
#14Washington
#15Nevada
#16Weber State
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten8 1266.7%
SEC7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 125 1050.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Pac 122 1216.7%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Ohio State 31-8 13-5
1 Michigan State 29-8 13-5
 1Michigan 24-10 13-5
4 Wisconsin 26-10 12-6
5 Indiana 27-9 11-7
6 Purdue 22-13 10-8
7 Northwestern 19-14 8-10
7 Iowa 18-17 8-10
9 Minnesota 23-15 6-12
9 Illinois 17-15 6-12
11 Nebraska 12-18 4-14
11 Penn State 12-20 4-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#5 Eso Akunne Jr G 6-2 225
#20 J. Bartelstein Jr G 6-3 205
#44 Max Bielfeldt Fr F 6-7 240
#2 C. Brundidge Fr G 6-1 190
#3 Trey Burke Fr G 5-11 180
#45 C. Christian So F 6-6 215
#1 Stu Douglass Sr G 6-3 200
#10 Tim Hardaway Jr So G 6-6 200
#15 Jon Horford So F 6-10 250
#22 Blake McLimans Jr F 6-10 240
#52 Jordan Morgan So F 6-8 250
#0 Zack Novak Sr G/F 6-4 210
#32 Corey Person Sr G 6-3 205
#23 Evan Smotrycz So F 6-9 235
#24 Sai Tummala Fr F 6-6 190
#13 Matt Vogrich Jr G 6-4 195